Prediction markets for pons launches
Call it before the curve does.
Will it graduate? Will it 5×? Will the launcher dump? Bet YES or NO in USDG. Winners split the losing side.
In play
$91k
24h volume
$44k
Open markets
30
Paid out
$7.9k
Will $OPENAI out-earn $OPENAICOIN by Wed 06:00 UTC?
55%
chance of YES · 12,400 USDG pooled
Trending
All markets →Will $AMERICA be worth $2M+ at Tue 10:00 UTC?
37%
yes
Will a coin named $SIN graduate by Sun 00:00 UTC?
71%
yes
Will $KOLSHI graduate by Tue 00:00 UTC?
41%
yes
Will $OPENAI do $1M volume by Mon 14:00 UTC?
66%
yes
Will $LIBY out-earn $TOLK by Thu 22:00 UTC?
61%
yes
Will $SEASON earn $5k in fees by Tue 22:00 UTC?
58%
yes
Will $EMBER be higher in 24h?
51%
yes
Will pons see 1,000+ launches today?
48%
yes
Will $BURROW do $100k volume by Mon 04:00 UTC?
52%
yes
Just launched
pons opens these for every new coin- Will $TADA graduate within 24h of launch?8%
$TADA Tada
$5.2k mcap · 1h old
4% curve
- Will $MUT8 graduate within 24h of launch?6%
$MUT8 Mut8
$7.1k mcap · 2h old
9% curve
- Will $CREORA graduate within 24h of launch?12%
$CREORA Creora
$12k mcap · 3h old
18% curve
Closing soon
betting stops 30 min before the deadline- 16m left
- 4h 40m left
- 8h 40m left
- 12h 40m left
- 15h 40m left
Two ways a market settles
Every market says up front how it will be decided. Markets that pons can answer onchain need no oracle at all; the rest use a signed result anyone can challenge.
Onchain markets
The contract reads the pons factory and the coin’s curve itself. Results are final the moment they are recorded.
- ●Graduates by a date
- ●Graduates within N hours of launch
- ●Hits N× its launch price
- ●Up or down
- ●Market cap at least $X
Signed markets
The pons indexer signs the number (fees, volume, holders…) with the block it counted to. 24h to challenge with a 50 USDG bond, then payout.
- ●Fees at least $X
- ●Volume at least $X
- ●Holders at least N
- ●Traders in the first hour
- ●Launcher sells half within 24h
- ●Still alive on day 7
- ●Coin A beats coin B
- ●Next launch from a wallet graduates
- ●A coin named $TICKER graduates
- ●pons-wide total
How it works
- 1
Pick a side
YES or NO, any amount from 0.1 USDG. Your bet goes into that side’s pool.
- 2
Wait for the deadline
The odds move as people bet. Betting closes 30 minutes before the question is decided.
- 3
Winners split the pot
Your stake back plus your share of the losing pool, minus 3%. Claim any time after.
Creating a market is free.
You just place the first bet (1 USDG minimum) and earn 1% of the losing pool when it settles.
Create a market →Top this week
Leaderboard →| 1 | 0xa5dc…b831 | +7.8k |
| 2 | 0x5f6f…91a2 | +5.7k |
| 3 | 0x8fa7…77c4 | +3.0k |
| 4 | 0x8748…4bbc | +2.3k |
| 5 | 0x0928…daa9 | +2.1k |
| 6 | 0x3c40…6844 | +1.9k |